KGH
Well-known member
COIN is a great place to practice and learn, but these days we're studying the Somme since near peers fire arty by the division level and make grid squares go away.
- TRANSCOM...
- not an existential...
Flynn: Liked him in Tampa. Prob too much of a warrior for DIA. You know, that "sister-service" who has expanded god knows how much. Funny to work with those who have two masters, the COCOM and DIA. Not reading the same OPLANS, thats for sure.
I still believe in COIN, but like Commies and Capitalists, it has never been effectively employed. And we know where Nagl ended up, Backwater Prep. How bout we try it without the FM? A-la we all fight the same fight. Shining cities on a hill (FOBs, DCs, etc) populated by us and our overpaid crooked "allies" serve to do nothing but further alienate the populace.
Of course TRANSCOM speaks to their own end game. It equals resourcing.
Had an opportunity to have a small group meeting with Kilcullen a few weeks ago. Respect him immensely. Good man. I left with the impression that he too does not see certain things as existential threat.
The problem with the west declaring that; it goes counter to the enemy's threat doctrine. They tell us they are an existential threat. Their authoritative doctrine speaks to it. I enjoyed:
http://unconstrainedanalytics.org/report-strategic-overview-of-the-threat/
Another great thinker is John Robb at Global Guerrillas.
I am not worried about peers or near peers, OK there is one non-EU NATO member that makes me loose sleep.
We can go cold agin WRT Russia, or we can actually work not with, but along side them. Am I the only one who remember what was discussed between USSR/US when it all fell apart? Neither is sticking to the agreements.
I am afraid of North Kores, yes. Straights of Hormuz, yes. Balkan tinderbox, yes. Indonesia, parts of South Am.
Hopefully the Chinese will keep it together, or have enough internal strife to focus on their own situation. Economically, a hit to China makes a dangerous China.
The Russians are as happy as we are playing Whack-A-Gazprom route to market in Syria, Ukraine, etc. Business is good for both Leviathans when the proxies are in play.
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